Poisson Modeling and Predicting English Premier League Goal Scoring

نویسندگان

چکیده

The English Premier League is well-known for being not only one of the most popular professional sports leagues in world, but also toughest competitions to predict. first purpose this research was verify consistency between goal scoring and Poisson process; specifically, relationships number goals scored a match distribution, time throughout course season exponential location during football games continuous uniform distribution. We found that process three probability distributions accurately describe scoring. In addition, regression utilized predict outcomes season, using different sets data with large simulations involved. examined compared various soccer metrics from our simulation results, including an club's chances champions, finishing top four bottom three, relegation points.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: The New England Journal of Statistics in Data Science

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2693-7166']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.51387/21-nejsds1